5 comments Friday, May 30, 2008

If you've been reading and enjoying the blog, I have a few things to ask of you.

Leave comments! Even if its just a comment on this thread saying hello, let me know you're out there. There's nothing more encouraging than knowing people are out there reading what I write. Let me know what you think of different pieces, when I get it right, let me know, when I miss the point entirely, definitely let me know. I would like this blog to continually improve, and one of the best ways to do that is by hearing from you!

Give me your story ideas. If you hear about something interesting, and you want to hear my take on it, send me an e-mail, or contact me though AIM:cyberkrack. I'm always looking for new ideas and topics to write about, so please give me your thoughts

Share this blog with others. If you're enjoying what you're reading, please help spread the word about this blog to your friends, family, co-workers, or even by screaming the info on street corners! Anything you can do to get the word out about the blog is great. The goal is to have 3000 visitors a month by the end of august, and I need as much help as I can get to reach that goal.

Thanks for your help,
Ricky

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In an update to my very first post here at FaBA, the Texas Supreme Court has ordered state officials in Texas to return the more than 400 children to their families starting next week. The Judge asserted that Child Protective services "failed to show an immediate danger to nearly all the children swept up from the ranch", which is pretty much exactly the argument I made here. Kudos to Texas, and hopefully now they can focus on persecuting those who are guilty of crimes, instead of the dozens who aren't.




Scott McClellan, former White House press secretary for the Bush administration, published a book called What Happened about his experience in the White House. McClellan has a scathing review of the Bush presidency, and accuses the President and his staff of many things including dishonesty and propaganda about the Iraq war. The reaction has been obvious: Ad Hominem attacks from everywhere, and succinct denial of everything in the book. The Fox News Channel coverage of the book is as dismissing as possible, while other Networks are talking to the man and asking difficult questions like "Are you a hypocrite?" because of his statements while working in the whitehouse about other "Tell-all" books.




Brazilian officials have released photographs taken from an airplane of an isolated tribe living in the jungles near Peru, almost completely unconnected to modern civilization. This is one of approximately two dozen such tribes that are being threatened by illegal logging and the general encroachment of civilization. I find it amazingly interesting that tribes like this still exist in our day, that are so disconnected from modernity that they were firing arrows at the airplane taking the picture.




The employees at Caterpillar who are unionized under United Auto Workers are protesting a decision by the Caterpillar company to make all of its properties 100% smoke free. The move was made by the company after the smoking ban was put in place in Illinois, where most of its factories reside. The company claims that the policy is in place to "ensure that everyone who works on or visits Caterpillar property has access to the healthiest and safest work environment possible". It appears that the employees were perfectly happy being unhealthy, and that they would prefer if the company stayed out of their business. The UAW has stated that there will not be a strike over the policy, but that it will definitely be discussed at their next negotiation meeting.

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1 comments Thursday, May 29, 2008

Michelle Malkin, conservative blogger and commentator, is declaring a Jihad against scarves. The AP reports that Dunkin' Donuts pulled an online ad featuring celebrity Chef Rachael Ray because of Ms. Malkin's complaint that the scarf resembled a Keffiyeh, which she describes as "Hate Couture". The company responded by pulling the ad and apologizing.



I'm not even sure where to begin with this one. Malkin seems to be dedicating a bit of time to this issue, and on her website she has a page dedicated to shaming celebrities wearing these Keffiyeh's. In some cases it seems justified, such as with Ricky Martin incident, where he was found with one inscribed with the words "Jerusalem is Ours" written in Arabic. It is not a big leap to say that this particular case is referring to the rallying cry of many terrorist organizations, as Ms. Malkin claims. What really irks me about this entire situation, is not that she's attacking people like Martin, who ignorantly display slogan's they probably didn't understand. I have taken up the same issue with people wearing Ché shirts in the past. What bothers me is not that she would take issue with these symbols of hate, which she would be correct in doing, but that she would go out of her way to mis-categorize and convert a traditional Arabic headpiece, into a symbol of terrorist support. I can't think of a clearer example of someone's prejudice and bigotry finding fire where there is no smoke. The logic that leads to the conclusion that Malkin comes to can only look something like:

1. Some terrorists wear Keffiyeh's.
2. Rachel Ray wore a Keffiyeh
_____
Thus, Rachel Ray supports terrorists.

which is akin to claiming that anyone with an Asian symbol tattoo, must be a supporter of the Triads. What's next, is she going to accuse algebra teachers of being terrorist supporters? Certain symbols do have meanings, and to and it is important that people understand them because what to you might be a "Cool symbol" to others might be an endorsement of genocide, or hate. One of the wonderful things about freedom of speech is that it allows us to call people out who are knowingly, as is usually the case with swastikas for example, or unknowingly, as is probably the case with Ricky Martin, using these symbols to further messages that we find distasteful. But with the Dunkin' Donuts example it's simply not the case. The case is that Malkin is manufacturing controversy where none exists, most likely to try and find out how much power her pulpit holds.

The immediate submission of Dunkin' Donuts to this bullying is just saddening. If the keffiyeh had hidden messages supporting terrorists like Ricky Martin's did it would be one thing, just as if she had been wearing an armband with a swastika, but in it's current state the only thing that Dunkin' Donuts was guilty of was of a cosmopolitan fashion sense. If the company wants to take an active stance on national political issues, like it has with illegal immigration, they have just missed an excellent opportunity to say "we do not agree with the fear-mongers' suggestion that the use of Arabic fashion implies a support for terrorist extremists".

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1 comments Wednesday, May 28, 2008

On Memorial day Obama retold a family anecdote, about his uncle coming back from World War II after being one of the first troops in Auschwitz. He told this to a small group of Veterans he was meeting with in Las Cruces. Aparently, the uncle was actually his Mother's uncle, Obama's great-uncle, and the camp was Buchenwald not Aushwitz. This wasn't in a debate, or even a major speech. From the video, it doesn't even seem like he's speaking to more than a dozen people, but it was taken as an opportunity to call him a liar:

"Obama's frequent exaggerations and outright distortions raise questions about his judgment and his readiness to lead as commander in chief,"

said an RNC spokesman.
On Politico.com, we have an entire article dedicated to attacking Obama's possible health because, even though his physician says he's in good health, he did smoke cigarettes up until last year. Apparently this is also a crime against the American people, and something that we should all be concerned with.

With McCain, there seems to be more discussion than is warranted on his age. He's the oldest man to ever run for President, and a website titled Things younger than McCain is a particularly entertaining way to make that point. This is a joke that he himself has brought up (see SNL clips). It's funny, and to a certain extent it is relevant, as his age increases the chances that he'll have health issues while in power, but is it really what we should be focusing on?

It's unreasonable to expect the voters to be completely informed on every "issue" and the candidates stance on it. Most people are not going to dedicate a significant portion of their day to compare and analyze the specifics of the various policies. When people are dedicating 15 or 30 minutes of their day to catching up with the news about the campaign, wasting 5 of it with this kind of irrelevant nonsense is borderline irresponsible, and it helps push the election cycle further from a discussion of the merits of policy alternatives, and more towards American Idol: Politics Edition. Our acceptance of this kind of nonsense as news disempowers us as voters, as the campaigns focus less on coming up with better policy, and more on which color ties to use.

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2 comments Monday, May 26, 2008

While most of the news is focusing on Memorial Day, I have been listening to archives of one of the better "talk-radio" format podcasts that I've found, Free Talk Live. The show got a call from a disabled veteran who told a "horror story" about his latest purchase at Best Buy, which ended up with the General Manager of the store allegedly telling him that "If we went out of our way to make all of our customers happy, we'd go out of business". If this manager actually takes this stance, he will surely be out of a job soon; either because he gets fired, or because this sort of policy will lead Best Buy down the same road that Sears, Montgomery Ward, and others have gone through. In their failure to adjust to a business world with seemingly infinite competitors all willing to go a little further to serve their clients, their business would dwindle down to nothing.

Certain segments of the corporate world have not had to make these adjustments, because they enjoy government imposed monopolies and competition limitless. In Mexico many of the essential services were, and some still are, run by means of a Government enforced monopoly. As is the case with most government enforced monopolies, they had the attitude of "you'll take what we give you and you'll like it". Customer service was virtually non-existent, because it didn't need to be. You either payed Telmex, or you didn't have phone service. This type of egregious abuse of consumers can only be accomplished with the help of the government, because without its intervention entrepreneurs would swiftly move in to fill the service gap created.

The media & entertainment industry in this country enjoyed to a certain extent the same sort of government enforced monopoly. You had to purchase the rights to the airwaves, be it radio or television, and the steep price meant only the largest of companies could compete. These companies didn't suffer the big blow of internet competition, because the bandwidth wasn't really available to stream their content in real-time, so they continued with the "You'll take what we give you" mindset.

However, as bandwidth started increasing, so did internet radio stations and on demand video streams. Any one of us can now get radio stations that are extremely specialized to our own personal tastes, and watch exactly the show we want, when we want to watch it. The case of the radio is particularly interesting, because past copyright laws allowed these net radio station to deal directly with artists, many of whom are not on "major labels" and work out agreements that would allow them to broadcast their music to small specialized groups for very low costs. It benefits the artists, who are unlikely to get played on traditional radio; it benefits the net radio stations, who can offer a huge variety of content to their listeners; and it benefits the listeners, who can now choose from huge variety of music, instead of whatever the top 40 is.

What is shocking, or maybe not so shocking, is that these titans of the radio industry instead of realizing that this is the trend of the future, and figuring out how to use their extreme resources (when compared to most net-radio businesses) to find a way to make it even better for the listeners, are doing everything they can to shut down these new net radio stations, by lobbying to increase the amounts of royalties these stations have to pay by between 300% and 1200%, according to Savenetradio.org, an organization created by net radio companies trying to fight the changes that would put them out of business, and force consumers back to the same stale top 40.

It astounds me the lengths that these companies are willing to go to to avoid change, and to avoid giving their customers better service. I'm pretty sure that whatever budget these companies have to fight change, far exceeds the budgets that the change-makers have for operation of their organizations. NBC's is one of the Television broadcasters that has embraced change, showing most of its major shows for free, in high quality, streaming on the internet. It shows what these large companies could do to offer their customers a legal alternative, that ends up being much better than the illegal choice. Clearchannel et. al could probably offer thousands of customized radio-stations, with a music catalogs extending far beyond what something like Soma.FM could have, and probably in better quality, but instead they choose to stick to their old ways, and expect that the government will do what it's always done, and protect their business.

They need to learn the new mantra of the internet age: "If we don't go our of our way to make each customer happy, we'll go out of business".

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7 comments Thursday, May 22, 2008

Yesterday I made the claim that Hillary would be ahead in the popular vote if Michigan and Florida were added to the count. Turns out that's what she's saying, but not true. Something so small as the truth isn't going to get her down over, and over.

In order to get the numbers that Sen Clinton's campaign is saying about the popular vote is only by including votes from Michigan and Florida (which don't count), and NOT including any of the caucuses (which DO include states where Obama won easily).

I admit that that I have been very harsh on Hillary in the past, but she constantly reminds me of the reasons people hate politics. When Clinton was ahead by a large margin, she was graceful, calm, and magnanimous. "Obama would make a great VP", she would imply condescendingly. She signed a pledge not to campaign in Florida and Michigan when there was no risk to do so, and so on.

As Obama slowly but surely started chipping away at her lead, she became vicious in her attacks (4am call, Rev. Wright), whiny (which is annoying), borderline racist (which is not fine),and has now resorted to full scale lying and underhanded tactics (which is just sad). The first job of a politician is to get elected, but Hillary's tactics for achieving this goal are more and more unpalatable.

If the campaign is supposed to be any indication of the way the candidates would act in office, I can see a strong comparison between the widespread criticisms of George Bush and the way she's running her campaign: Get what you want, at any cost.

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2 comments Wednesday, May 21, 2008

In the past two days Sen. Clinton has been doing more of what she's been doing for the past few weeks: whining a lot. On the heels of yet another irrelevant primary win in Kentucky, which of course Clinton claims as a huge victory that proves she should keep going, Clinton has begun aggressively campaigning for the votes of Michigan and Florida to be accepted into the primary election.

The reason these places weren't included to begin with, is because they went against party rules and changed their primaries to be the first in the country. They were warned that if they did so, their votes wouldn't be accepted, and the Dems followed through. All of the candidates, including Clinton, pledged not to campaign in that state.

So what has changed since then? Well, in Gallup polls done between August through September, around the dates they signed this pledge, Clinton led Obama by 47% to 25%. There was, in her mind, no risk in making this promise because she was the "inevitable" candidate. Boy was she wrong. Her new strategy, and her only hope of winning it seems, is to fiercely promote these states "right" to be represented in the primary. Now Clinton is comparing it to Bush V. Gore and calling the Florida and Michigan voters "disenfranchised". If accepted, Clinton would be ahead in the popular vote, and seems to believe she could make a stronger claim for the superdelegates to vote for her in the convention. She will of course forget to mention that Obama never campaigned in Florida or Michigan, like she did, and that Obama wasn't even on the Michigan ballot.

I for one can't get over the feeling that she's fighting dirty and it's confirming all my suspicions that she is out for power, in any way she can get it. The Democrats for those states made the decision to defy the party, and they made it knowing the consequences. The Candidates signed the pledge, and followed it. The fact that Clinton didn't ever consider the idea of losing, doesn't make it ok for her to go back on her word, and risk dividing the party even more. Her tactic now seems to be "win at any cost", and I can't imagine this will bring her any good will with the superdelegates, or in the general election.

For McCain's response to the whole thing, see this video of him on SNL.

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5 comments Tuesday, May 20, 2008

Sen. Ted Kennedy was diagnosed with a malignant brain tumor, the particulars of which I'll spare you, but essentially odds are against him. It seems that most of the media outlets have started to eulogize him, focusing on his life, his legacy, and his "passing of the torch". Since Sen. Kennedy has been one of the greatest supporters of Obama, everyone with a left-of-center political bent is rushing to say that Obama is the next member of the "Kennedy Dynasty".

While I am too young to have lived through the heyday of the Kennedy years, JFK and Bobby Kennedy, I still grew up with the idea of Kennedy. I call it the 'Idea of Kennedy' because I very much doubt that it paints the whole picture of them, and for all I know is not even historically accurate.
Whether it's true or not is unimportant, but the idea of Kennedy is roughly as follows:
-A Kennedy is a racial groundbreaker, bringing together Blacks and Whites in times of extreme racial tension.
-A Kennedy is an incredibly charismatic orator, giving goosebumps to even his fiercest critics when they hear him speak.
-A Kennedy is the American Dream incarnate, the children of immigrants that went from poverty to de-facto American Royalty in just a few generations.
-A Kennedy knows how to party and relax, it's almost expected of them, so when they do you can't get mad, you just shrug and say "Oh, that's our Kennedy!" as if in a 1950's sitcom.

These are the images conjured in my mind when I think of what it means to be 'a Kennedy'. This is also why every left-leaning pundit in the country will be rushing forward in the next few days to say that Ted Kennedy, the last of the REAL Kennedys, has "Passed the Torch" to Barrack Obama. They want to make sure that when you think of Barrack Obama, you think of the Idea of Kennedy, and get that same warm and fuzzy feeling everyone gets while talking about JFK. They also seem to be quick to point out, that Ted never chose to pass that torch to Bill Clinton, who has been the only Democrat in the Whitehouse in 25 years. Obama is the next Kennedy, not Hillary.

However, it's also important to remember the other than the Idea of Kennedy, there's much to be said about the reality of Ted Kennedy. He's been in the Senate for nearly 50 years, which clearly doesn't speak to the idea of groundbreaking change in Washington that Obamaniacs chant. He's about as left-wing as a Democrat Senator can be, consistently voting for bigger government projects, increasing the minimum wage, strong supporter of gay rights and immigrant rights, and all other things left-of-center. While no one can doubt his Charisma, the Chappaquiddick incident, might be cause for questioning his integrity.

While it's difficult to lump everything he's done into possitive or negative, I think the Obama campaign might be a bit too hasty in accepting the torch its being passed. For many of the undecided voters who lean towards the Republicans but are considering Obama, or the white, poor, uneducated people that Clinton is so vocal in claiming would never vote for him, an endorsement from Ted Kennedy, if presented in the right light, could be the kiss of death for the Illinois Senator. I don't think it would take much more than listing the most controversial of Kennedy's votes and implying Obama would do the same as president to turn many voters away.

But for now, at least the Obama campaign is taking a gamble that the Idea of Kennedy will be more powerful than the reality of Ted.

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6 comments Monday, May 19, 2008

It seems I can't go anywhere on the internet recently without hearing about Bob Barr, who is running for the Libertarian Party nomination. Everywhere you look, from left to right, everyone has something to say about Bob Barr.

While Barr himself has done very little since his announcement, mostly some nagging at now-irrelevant Gov. Huckabee, everyone is scrambling to figure out what effect he will have on the general election. The Weekly Standard's bloggers think he "seems likely to siphon votes from Obama, not McCain". Over at the Daily Kos, blogger Steven R. makes a strong case for "Obamaniacs" to donate to Barr's campaign, in order to defeat McCain, after all, it's what some Republicans did with Nader.

So who's right? Well polls seem to agree with the Barr-for-Obama camp. The Rasmussen Reports, which has daily poll results on the Presidential election, finds that if the election were held today with only Obama and McCain on the ballot, McCain would win by 45% to 44%. However, when you toss in Bob Barr (and Ralph Nader, since he's become inevitable it seems), the results look much different:

In a four-way race, Obama earns 42% of the vote, McCain 38%, Bob Barr 6% and Ralph Nader 4%. Given those options, 11% were undecided.

While this is all likely to change, and I'd be surprised if any third party got more than 3% of the vote or so, it does show an interesting trend. Obama voters will probably vote for Obama regardless of what the other options are, where McCain loses quite a few votes to Bob Barr.

The effect of Bob Barr is likely to diminish in the coming months as more people get to know him and the specifics of what a vote for Bob Barr stands for. Rasmussen Reports states that "Most voters don’t know enough about Barr to have an opinion of him", and I feel this is more likely to benefit Barr than hurt him. What I think it does show is that the Republicans have alienated a lot of voters that would usually not even consider voting for any other party, either through their dislike of the Bush Presidency, or because, as in my case, it seems difficult to see any evidence that they're actually the same organization that gave us Reagan, Goldwater, and even Newt Gingrich. The question is, will McCain be willing to make concessions to this voting bloc in an effort to stop Barr from being a spoiler, or will he continue with the de-facto policy of dismissing "third-party voters" as lunatics that should be ignored?

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7 comments Friday, May 16, 2008

In an attempt to share some of the spotlight with the Democrats, McCain gave a sort of "Back to the Future" speech where he looked forward the the changes his Presidency would like to accomplish by 2013. I will try to give this some more in depth analysis soon, but it seems to be at least a novel idea. Politicians usually try to prevent giving out any specific goals or ideas for fear that it would turn away some of their potential voters, and its refreshing to hear someone outline something a bit more tangible than "improve the economy" or "get more jobs". Among the things listed were a reduced military presence in Iraq by 2013, a tax-reform and potential "flat-tax", as well as others. Stay tuned for more info on the speech and on McCain next week.




The Catholic Church announced that it is OK for Catholics to believe in aliens. To summarily dismiss the possibility would be to "set limits on the creative liberty of God." according to Rev. Jose Funes, who is the director of the Vatican Observatory. I agree wholeheartedly with the premise, and I believe that too often people love to set their limits on God (hello, creationists!), I wonder if the official permission of the Vatican was needed. Were there really that many Catholics afraid to believe in the possibility of extraterrestrials because it might be a sin?




President Bush, trying to fulfill as many cliché's as possible before his Presidency ends, is on his official peace-in-the-middle-east tour. Well, sorta. The President is in Israel for the 60th anniversary of the country's independence, and during his visit he hopes, as always, to promote the idea of peace. While giving a speech, it seems that he might have likened Sen. Obama to those that would try to appease Hitler. Although he never mentioned Obama, or Hitler for that matter, it was implied that he meant both. Or did some people just interpret it that way? Either way, the President it getting accused of taking advantage of Israel's independence celebrations in order to play partisan politics.




On the heels of the Myanmar cyclone disaster, China had a massive earthquake from which it is still recovering. As of today the Chinese were still finding survivors in the rubble. The consensus is that the Chinese government is dealing with the disaster incredibly well. It should be interesting to see what sort of discussion comes of this in the future, comparing the Chinese response to the American response during Katrina.

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0 comments Thursday, May 15, 2008

In California today, Supreme Court for that State overturned the ban on gay marriage. San Fransisco allowed it, law makers outlawed it, and now the court is saying its OK again. Just when you thought the madness would stop, it seems that many predict this will only last for a few months, until a ballot initiative to change the state constitution to ban gay marriages goes through in November.

While this would be a great opportunity to discuss the sides of the gay marriage debate, I find that overdone and uninteresting. In the interest of full disclosure I will say that I generally agree that the Government has no business telling consenting adults who they can or cannot marry, be it because of their race, or because of their sexuality. That being said, I want to discuss what I find to be the more interesting topic at hand: so called Activist Judges.

Activist Judges is a term thrown around a lot, mostly by conservatives, to describe judges they don't like under the idea that they are interpreting laws and the constitution incorrectly. While I have no numbers to support it, I would guess that it's used to refer to left leaning judges more than the opposite, but in general I think it applies to anyone who makes a decision they don't like. As someone who generally agrees with the idea of a checks-and-balances form of government, I absolutely despise this term.

Each of our States, much like our federal government, has as the foundation for all of its laws the State Constitution. This Constitution exists because the citizens of each state gave some of their power to the government, which is to say other citizens, and placed some restrictions on the power that these governments were to have. The Supreme court is essentially charged with being the living advocate for this document, in charge of deciding whether the actions of the other branches, legislature and executive, are following the rules that the citizens set. They use as a basis the collection of information they have from the previous Constitutional Spokesmen, along with their own interpretations to make their decisions. This is why why the judges write their opinions down, not only to explain them to the citizenship, but to help future Judges to understand their decisions in the hopes that they will make better, more informed rulings in the future.

If our Judges are truly "activist judges" interpreting the Constitution in whichever way suits them in order to bring about change, then we as citizens have not only the right, but the responsibility to remove them from their job. However, if we allow them to be accused of this when it is not true, to be denigrated for doing their job and defending the rules that we have set forth to limit the power that our elected officials have over us, then we are giving away our power, and there is no need for the Judicial branch at all.

I have the highest respect for our Constitutional Judges, and I do not envy the difficulty of their position. I do not always agree with the decisions they make, but it is their responsibility to make them to the best of their ability. It is their responsibility to tell those that are in power that they are wrong, that they don't have the authority to do this or that, and because of that I am sure they are not endeared with our politicians, and in fact, I would be very concerned if they were. Next time you hear talk of Judicial Activism, remember that judges are their to protect your rights, not the rights of the government.

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5 comments Wednesday, May 14, 2008

I was watching the news this morning and I saw a headline that caught my eye. "DNC Delegate Sells his Vote for $20 million", or something of that nature. While at first I expected some sort of interesting controversy about an idiot superdelegate trying to profit from the highly contested primary, what I found out was actually quite different, and quite interesting.

Steven Ybarra's role as a superdelegate, as far as I can find, comes from his work in the DNC Hispanic Caucus, where he currently works as "Chair of the Committee on new citizens' outreach and voter registration for the DNC Hispanic Caucus and is the Pacific Regional Director for the DNC Hispanic Caucus". Quite the lofty title. As for the purpose of the $20 million he's demanding for his vote: Mr. Ybarra wants the money in order to setup concerted efforts to court the Mexican-American community of eligible voters, something that according to him, both Democratic candidates have largely ignored.

Hispanics as a voting bloc are relatively new to the scene. The Democrats have a long established relationship with the African-American community, but these strong ties do not exist with Latino voters. It seems surprising to me to see how little effort they are putting into building those ties, considering the evidence that shows Hispanic voters were a key voting bloc that delivered the 2004 election to George Bush. I would think that a relatively unaffiliated voting bloc, that is large and getting larger, would be a gigantic point of focus for anyone interested in becoming the next President. While Obama and Clinton focus on people that will probably vote for them anyway, namely African-Americans and Blue-Collar European-Americans, McCain is launching an aggressive campaign to court the Hispanic vote. Mr. Ybarra is not trying to get a bribe to vote for a candidate, he's trying to push the Democrats into doing the same, which would be an extremely good idea.

In an extreme exercise in missing the point, a blogger on the Official DNC site says:

Many minorities share democratic values such as social equity and social justice therefore there is vast potential for democratic candidates to gain these votes. Steven Ybarra has blatantly violated these values and may have turned away minority votes by attempting to extort 20 million dollars from other Democrats.


I think the Democrats are making an extremely dangerous assumption in thinking that Hispanics will vote for them simply because they are a minority. The past two Presidential elections have proven that this was wrong. The Democrats have built a relationship with African Americans by listening to their problems, their concerns, their efforts, and working with them to accomplish their goals. Their idea of building relationships with Hispanics is pointing to the Republicans and saying "Those guys want tougher immigration laws and therefore hate you, so you have no choice but to vote for us" while the McCain and the Republicans are knocking on doors, meeting with community leaders, and bringing Hispanic voters to the table. Which approach do you think will help build a strong long-lasting voter base?

While Ybarra's method might be disagreeable to some, he makes a strong point when he says that Democrats cannot afford to ignore Hispanic voters. If either of the democratic candidates actually stop long enough to listen to what he's saying, it might be the best $20 million they will spend. If they don't, Latino's will start to realize that they have more in common with the Republicans than they were led to believe, and I won't be surprised to hear talk in 2012 about how it was the Hispanic voters that helped lock McCain into the Presidency in 2008.

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1 comments Tuesday, May 13, 2008

Now that most everyone has accepted that Sen. Obama has won the primary, rumors are going around that he might choose Sen. Clinton as a running mate. In a Gallup poll asking Democrats if he should choose her, 55% said yes:



I wonder about the wisdom of this idea. Clinton has for the most part been ruthless in attacking Obama, saying he's unprepared to run, attacking him for being disconnected, etc, etc. I would assume that all of these things will come back to bite them in a general election. Can she really be the VP candidate if she believes all these things? If it turns out she was 'just kidding' about every single piece of negative campaigning she did, are we supposed to just accept that?

I sincerely doubt that Sen. Clinton would accept the VP nomination. Not only would she have to eat her words, which I doubt she'd find appetizing, but it would also mean she'd have to try to win in the General Election. It would confirm too many of the ideas that people already have that she's ruthless and completely self-interested, and would do anything for power. The problem with her having to try to win the general election is that if she tried too hard, and actually won, she wouldn't be able to run for President in 2012.

The interesting part is that Clinton supporters seem to be all about having her in the Whitehouse however she can get there. Among them, 73% favor the idea of her as VP. Obama supporters aren't as willing to forget everything she said during the campaign. 52% of them would prefer if he chose someone else. I'm sure they're worried, like I am, that if she got into the White House in any office other than President, she would do her best to take over.

Either way, the Obama vs McCain election should pan out to be an interesting one.

Link to the Gallup poll info here.

Este articulo en español en: http://rickyenespanol.blogspot.com/2008/05/obama-clinton-08.html

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5 comments Monday, May 12, 2008

Former Congressman Bob Barr announced his candidacy for President on the Libertarian Ticket today, some several months behind all of the other candidates. Rep. Barr, who is probably most known for introducing the resolution to look into impeachment proceedings for President Clinton, left the Republican Party in 2004 to join the Libertarian Party.

Commentary is already popping up that Rep. Barr is just trying to become a spoiler for Sen. McCain, much in the same way that Nader did for Al Gore in 2000. Prof. Charles Bullock, a Political Science professor at the University of Georgia, Rep. Barr's home state, disagrees:

Even disenchanted Republican voters, once they see how far apart the options being offered them by McCain and Obama are, they're going to conclude that they prefer McCain. He may not be their first choice, but they would prefer him substantially more than Obama, and realizing that McCain's going to need every vote he can get to have any chance of winning.


Whether or not Bob Barr and the LP can get enough votes to make a big difference in the campaign at all is debatable. The Libertarians have shown a history of having no clue how to run a campaign, even though they have some of the strongest ideas on the political landscape. I wonder what the purpose of the announcement this far into the race is however, if it is not to do exactly what they're accused of. If the Clinton years taught us anything, its that Republicans stick closer to their true philosophical roots when there is a Democrat in the White House. Newt Gingrich's Contract with America shows evidence of that. So maybe the goal of getting a Democrat in the White House isn't a terrible one from a Conservatives perspective.

Regardless, we'll keep a close eye on this campaign and see what develops, and how successful the LP is at not embarrassing itself this year. I sincerely doubt that Barr can replicate the success that Ron Paul has had in the primary.

A short clip of his announcement below:



Addendum: Official Bob Barr campaign website at: http://www.bobbarr2008.com

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2 comments Sunday, May 11, 2008

Probably not. But I found this clip from last night's show that echo's some of my sentiments on Hillary Clinton that I pointed out in my post about the Indiana Primary. Tongue-in-cheek as it might be, I don't think they're too far from the truth.

Clip at Hulu.com

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0 comments Friday, May 09, 2008

It's Friday! Prepare yourself for small chat at cocktail parties by catching up on news you might have missed.





The Clinton camp has some good news for those who are getting tired of the longest campaign ever. Even though Sen. Clinton loves announcing that she'll never give up, Her campaign manager, Terry McAuliffe, suggested that she'll probably give up before the convention. A shift can already be seen in the Obama campaign as they move towards a strategy that would be more useful in the general election. It seems that the only ones that don't know that the Clinton campaign is dead, is the Clintons.




The Chief of Mexico's Federal police was shot down on thursday morning, supposedly because of his involvement in President Calderon's efforts to crack down on drug cartels. With over 200 officers dead so far, and countless other victims, I would hope this "drug war" would come to an end soon. However, it seems that the drug war begets more violence between the vendors and regulators, than from the actual drug users.




Speaking of the drug war, Hit-and-Run, the blog from Reason Magazine, has some interesting analysis of the latest numbers in the war on drugs, mainly, on how it seems to show systemic racism. The article focuses mostly on the report from Human Rights Watch that:
a black man is 11.8 times more likely than a white man to be sent to prison on drug charges, and a black woman is 4.8 times more likely than a white woman.

If the goal of the drug war is to save lives like many claim, it seems that in some places police feel the need to protect some people from themselves, more than others.




The disaster stricken nation of Myanmar, which was hit by a cyclone that is reported to have killed up to 100,000 people, is refusing to allow foreign aid workers to enter the country, although it will accept aid donations. I would assume that most countries would have concerns about handing large quantities of aid supplies and funds to untrained workers, and a military led government with a history of abuse and oppression.

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0 comments Thursday, May 08, 2008

Today the final touches were put on this year's farm bill. The subject of farm aid comes up every few years, since the first Agriculture Adjustment act of 1933. However you would think that in a year where we can constantly hear the whispers and screams of the "Global Food Crisis", it would be a great time to reexamine the way we deal with farm subsidies.

First the good news: If you're a farmer making less than $1.5 Million a year, help is on the way (maybe)! God forbid you only get a piddly $700,000 in income or so. The bill, which comes with a $300 Billion price tag for tax-payers, would also increase food stamps and emergency food assistance, eliminates some loopholes, and has a $3.8 billion disaster fund to help farmers through extreme national disasters. These could be considered good things for some, I suppose.

Now the bad news: The bill increases subsidies for certain crops. It also continues the subsidies for ethanol, albeit reduced from $0.51 to $0.45 per gallon, our token bio-fuel program. Ethanol is where most of the blame is being placed for the food crisis, and it seems, does absolutely nothing to reduce harmful emissions.

Citizens Against Government Waste, a non-profit organization that focuses on tracking wasteful government spending, or pork-barrel spending, is urging the President to veto this "reform bill", because, well:

There is no significant reform in H.R. 2419.



There are rumors that the President just might. However, I doubt that any bill that met with the President's approval would stop the most egregious abuses of this bill, such as paying people who don't grow anything.

While the Federal Government might have some role in creating assistance programs to help with natural disasters, as are outlined in the new bill, It seems ridiculous to me that we would be spending billions of dollars a year paying anyone not to work, or paying subsidies for ethanol, whose value is still constantly debated. In a year where there have been riots over the availability and cost of food around the world, it would make sense to me to stop giving farmers tax-payer money to produce less of it.

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2 comments Wednesday, May 07, 2008

Today, I decided I would see what it would be like to actually go on a gas tax vacation. I crunched all the numbers, did all the equations, calculated the interest and added in the inflation, and figured out exactly how much money I would save this month, if this was implemented today. Then I went out and spent that money. While originally I thought it was a dumb idea, I now I might have to think twice.


Take a look at everything I bought (and I even had some change left over):



That's right. I would save $5.76. Enough to buy a Whopper Combo, but not King Size, and no cheese. Then again, I barely drive, and when I do, its a small, 4 cylinder, Nissan. I called my brother up, who has a 1 hour commute to work in some behemoth vehicle. He said that on average he goes through about 72 gallons of gas a week. For him the "Gas Tax Vacation" would add up to about $50 a month, assuming that the oil companies didn't increase the costs as a result. His gas tank holds 24 gallons, and the month of "savings" wouldn't even buy him an extra tank.

What would you do with your gas tax vacation?

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2 comments Tuesday, May 06, 2008

The Indiana primary is happening tonight. It seems to me that there is a lot of hubbub over the State, when it won't actually decide anything. Delegates are split evenly between the candidates, and neither seems likely to win by a large margin. In fact, from the numbers I have seen, it won't matter at all in terms of overall delegates.

So why is this primary important? It's all about the Superdelegates. For the most part, the primaries are relatively unimportant at this point, as even if Sen. Clinton were to win every state that's left by 10 points, she would still not even tie Sen. Obama. The result is that these Superdelegates, get to decide who runs again Sen. McCain. These party members are tasked with finding which of the two would have the biggest advantage against the Republican nominee, and that's what the Indiana primary is really all about.

To win against McCain, either candidate will have to prove that they are able to take votes from what is usually assumed to be the Republican base. Blue collar, lower/middle class, white Americans. What is increasingly interesting to see is how the candidates perceive this voter base.

The first thing that strikes me, is that the Democratic campaigns assume that they (Blue collar white America) are racist. The Clinton campaign made sure that the controversy with Rev. Wright stayed in the news as long as possible. The most obvious benefit that I can see to what should be an unimportant issue is to make sure that everyone is constantly reminded that no matter how he acts,Obama is still a black man. As I've said before, Rev. Wright seems to epitomize many of the "angry black man" stereotypes, and the Clinton campaign wants to make sure people are reminded of that stereotype when they think of Obama. They wouldn't push the issue if they didn't think it would benefit them in the vote totals, so they must be under the assumption that Indiana voters are secretly racist. The fact that Obama was forced to break ties with the Reverend, suggests that his camp bought the idea too.

The second, is that they think Indiana voters believe that the wolf in sheep's clothing, is actually a sheep. I cant keep track of all the places Clinton has claimed to be from, but it seems that she grew up in every small town in the country. Clinton has spent the past few decades living in Governors mansions, the White House, and who knows how many homes with wings larger than my apartment, yet she seems determined to prove that she's a small town, blue collar girl. Whether it's doing shots of Crown (well, sipping them anyway), or talking about how she remembers seeing her dad at work in the factory (that he owned), Hillary wants Indiana voters to believe that beneath her silk gloves lay hardened callouses. Meanwhile, Obama is out shooting hoops, and drinking beers, right out of the can. They're trying hard to make people think that these millionaires are really just one of the guys.


The third, and the only one in which I see a big difference between the candidates, is that the Clinton campaign thinks that they can buy some votes for pretty cheap, About $0.18 on the gallon. While the Clinton campaign is trying to present it as the equivalent of a free vacation, the Obama campaign is siding with the 230 or so economists that are saying this is a pretty terrible idea:

First, research shows that waiving the gas tax would generate major profits for oil companies rather than significantly lowering prices for consumers," they wrote. "Second, it would encourage people to keep buying costly imported oil and do nothing to encourage conservation. Third, a tax holiday would provide very little relief to families feeling squeezed.

Sen. Clinton responded that she wasn't going to go with these elitist economists. What do they know about the economy anyway!

The Democrats are trying to prove to their party that they can win over these voters, but I wonder how many people they'll actually win over by constantly insulting their intelligence. I guess we'll see tonight.

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0 comments Monday, May 05, 2008

The Chicago International Pipe and Tobacciana show, which was held in St. Charles, Illinois this past weekend, is a yearly event that has been held in the Chicagoland area for the past 12 years. Pipe and tobacco vendors from across the world come to show off their latest creations in what really is a display of artistic craftsmanship.

The show, which featured over 300 vendors from across the world, ran into a bit of a hitch this year. While the event's planners were very careful to ensure that the event would comply with all smoking rules, they were still prohibited from smoking inside the event hall where the show was taking place.

The law against smoking, whose enforcement started on January 1st of this year, was intended to make it

makes it safe for people to visit or work in restaurants and bars without putting their health at risk.
. The CPCC, which hosts the event, made sure that there was no chance that people who did not wish to be exposed to second-hand smoke, did not. They required all attendees to be members of the organization and to sign waivers that they were of legal age to smoke, and understood all of the risks associated with first, second, and third hand smoke inhalation. As a secondary precaution, they set up an outdoor tent for those who just wanted to hang out and smoke a pipe, but didn't need to be in the exhibition hall. In essence, if the intended purpose was to prevent non-smokers from being unwillingly exposed to the health risks of secondhand smoke, the CPCC went above and beyond what they should have to do, in order to ensure that this didn't happen.

Yet still, they were not allowed to smoke at their event. The Chicago Tribune reports Mike Grady of the American Cancer Association describing the efforts of the CPCC to ensure that the patrons understand what they're getting into as an attempt to "actually underminde the law through legal sophistry". I wouldn't call what the CPCC was doing an attempt to undermine the law. I would call it a strong effort to make sure that the spirit of the law was carried through. But aparently it has become acceptable in this country to take away people's freedom to associate in whichever peaceful way they see fit, as long as you're protecting them from something they don't want to be protected against.

So why smoking was still disallowed, even though they took every step imaginable to ensure that people concerned about the health risks would not enter ground zero of second-hand tobacco smoke? Again from the Tribune article:
Grady said that if smoking were allowed in the convention hall, harmful contaminants would remain in the air even after the pipe collectors' event ended and could pose a health risk to others


So aparently, tobacco smoke is the environmental equivalent of toxic waste. Any location in which it was ever present, should probably be declared a national disaster area.

Absolutely ridiculous.

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